r/BlackPeopleTwitter • u/EnlightnedRedditor • Jul 25 '24

Country Club Thread How yall feel about this

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Idc too much for politics, just wanna know other peoples opinions on it.

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u/Express-Doubt-221 Jul 25 '24

Don't black voters usually overwhelmingly vote Democratic to the tune of like 90% +? Makes it hard for me to trust the polls

193

u/youngherbo Jul 25 '24

Youre right, No GOP candidate has won more than 15% of the Black vote in 60 years. I personally am VERY skeptical of polls showing Trump getting anything above that number.

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u/Gold-Bench-9219 Jul 25 '24

There are definitely reasons to believe the polls are off. Democrats have overperformed in every election since 2016, both in general and special elections. Biden himself got nearly 90% of the Black vote in 2020, and there is no reason to believe that there has been a significant shift towards Trump since then. What has really changed? Trump and his party have only gotten more overtly racist and gross.

All of those margins seems suspiciously high for Trump. The only one that could be reasonable is women just because white women vote for Trump, but Black and young voters, IMO, will not vote for Trump to those margins.