r/OnePieceTC Doktah Carrot Muffins May 03 '18

JPN Analysis TM Kizaru - The Misconception of Multi-Component Specials (PART 1)

Introduction

WARNING - LOTS OF TEXT BELOW

SEE TLDR IF YOU DON'T WANT TO READ THE MATH OR EXPLANATIONS

Ever since TM Kizaru's CA and special were introduced, players have been shitting on him, complaining that he is the worst TM unit and not worth farming (although Bandai decided to spice things up this time with the free Legend pulls).

Originally, I wanted to discuss his special and compare TM Kizaru with other TM units overall in this post. However, it's getting quite lengthy so I'm going to split it into 2 posts.

In this post, I want to begin with his special and how multi-component specials (especially health cuts) are seemingly misunderstood by most players. In particular, players seem to read specials such as 1.75x boost as being automatically weaker than specials with 2x boosts - this is NOT the case.

My next post will compare TM Kizaru with other TM units.

 

Part 1 - Multi-Component Specials

Most units these days have multiple components in their specials, including utility components such as reducing attack down, defense up, damage reduction, healing, etc., in addition to damage components such as attack boosts, orb boosts, HP cuts, nukes, etc.

I will not be spending any time analyzing utility components, as they are incredibly difficult to compare across units, as it is completely situational. It's practically impossible to theoretically say whether a special that reduces despair by 3 turns is better or worse than a special that reduces paralysis. Events may need an orb locker, or multi-turn attack booster, or perhaps a paralysis reducer, but these specials could be completely useless in other events. However, it is still important to note that TM Kizaru has other utility components, namely a 3 turn boost that extends across multiple boss stages, as well as an orb lock which synergizes well over multiple turn burst.

Therefore I will be only focusing on the damage components of specials, specifically excluding nukes (which although may be necessary in certain situations and definitely contributes to how much damage a unit deals, is situational and much more difficult to compare between different units).

 

Damage-Components of Specials & Health Cuts

Different boosts can stack with each other multiplicatively, but not with boosts of the same nature. However, health cuts are essentially damage boosts that can endlessly stack, both with other health cuts and with other attack boosts, provided the stage does not have a barrier and can be HP Cut.

How do HP cuts work as damage multipliers? A very simplified answer would be to divide the other damage multiplier by the percentage health remaining (or 100% - HP Cut). So a 20% health cut would be equivalent to a 1 / 0.8 = 1.25x damage multiplier.

While that's true for a single turn burst without other assumptions, let's get into the nitty gritty details and assumptions for some specific scenarios. For all the calculations below, we'll assume that each unit in the team has the same attack stat for simplifying purposes.

 

Definition: Effective Damage (ED) - If an enemy unit has X HP and the team deals Y > X total damage (which includes all damage components of specials, including HP cuts and nukes), the team's effective damage is equal to X.

Note: This excludes the effect of IntHawk and V2 Doffy specials from the remainder of the calculations as their specials are extremely unique and situational.

Example: Enemy unit has 5M HP. Your team after using all specials deal a total of 5.5M, including 1M from a 20% HP cut and other damage of 4.5M. Your effective damage is 5M. The principle is - it does not matter how much overkill damage you deal if you are still able to defeat the enemy unit.

 

Definition: Equivalent Multiplier (EM) - Suppose with unit A, the team is able to deal an effective damage of Y. The Equivalent Multiplier is the minimum flat damage multiplier X that a replacement unit B provides such that the team with unit B instead of unit A deals exactly Y effective damage.

Example: Enemy has 1M HP. Unit A does a 20% HP cut, after which the team one shots the enemy. ED is 1M. Without any other information, the team with A will deal at minimum 800k in damage after the HP cut. The minimum flat damage multiplier that a replacement unit B needs is then a 1.25x damage boost. Higher damage boosts, like 2x, will result in the same ED of 1M, but it is not the minimum damage boost. The EM is 1.25x.

 

Equivalent Multiplier for TM Kizaru

Suppose we have TM Kizaru's special, which has a 20% health cut in conjunction with a 3 turn 1.75x adaptable attack boost. Both components contribute to damage, but how much damage does TM Kizaru deal in total?

 

1) Single turn burst, mono-DEX team


To keep comparisons simple, assume that TM Kizaru is boosted in the team. Further assume that after the health cut, we are now able to 1-turn the enemy. Let X be the EM of a replacement unit. Let C be the damage multipliers from the remainder of the team, including the captain ability and chain multipliers and excluding TM Kizaru and the replacement unit.

  • Then for TM Kizaru:

    • 0.8 * ED = 1.75 * C
    • ED = 1.75 / 0.8 * C
  • For the replacement unit:

    • ED = X * C
  • Equating the two gives:

Conclusion

For a single turn mono-DEX team, TM Kizaru provides the highest attack boost @ 2.1875x in the game except for V2 Shanks.

 

2) 2 turn burst, constant attack boost, mono-DEX team.


Let's suppose that instead of a 1-turn situation, we now need 2 turns to completely burst the enemy, with the ED over 2 turns being the entire enemy's health bar. In this calculation, since TM Kizaru is a 1.75x boost for 3 turns, let's assume that the replacement unit provides a constant EM of X for at least 2 turns.

Let C1 being the remaining damage multiplier for the first turn and C2 being the remaining damage multiplier for the second turn.

  • Then for TM Kizaru:

    • 0.8 * ED = 1.75 * C1 + 1.75 * C2
    • ED = 1.75 / 0.8 * (C1 + C2)
  • For the replacement unit:

    • ED = X * C1 + X * C2
  • Equating the two gives:

Conclusion

In order to replace TM Kizaru for up to 3 turns of damage, you need a unit that provides an EM of 2.1875x for up to 3 turns.

 

3) Single turn burst, non mono-DEX team.


One unique feature of TM Kizaru's special is that the damage boost is adaptable, similar to V2 Shanks. What if you replace any other type booster (who is boosted in the team) with TM Kizaru? For example, if you decide to replace Colo Sicilian with TM Kizaru in a V2 Akainu team.

In which case TM Kizaru himself is not boosted by the CA and will be the first one attacking. To be simple, let's exclude chain lock or chain boost.

Let C1 be the damage multiplier for the units that are boosted by the team, excluding chain. Let C2 be the damage multiplier for the units that are not boosted by the team (TM Kizaru).

  • Then for TM Kizaru:

    • 0.8 * ED = C2 + 1.75 * C1 * (1.3 + 1.6 + 1.9 + 2.2 + 2.5)
    • ED = 1.25 * C2 + 2.1875 * 9.5 * C1
  • For the replacement unit:

    • ED = X * C1 * (1 + 1.3 + 1.6 + 1.9 + 2.2 + 2.5)
    • ED = 10.5 * X * C1
  • Equating the two gives:

    • 10.5 * X * C1 = 1.25 * C2 + 2.1875 * 9.5 * C1
    • X = 1.25 / 10.5 * C2 / C1 + 2.1875 * 9.5 / 10.5 * C1 / C1
    • X = 0.12 * C2 / C1 + 1.98
  • Since C1 and C2 > 0,

So even if he is not boosted, TM Kizaru provides almost as much damage as a 2x type booster. You can replace literally every other single turn 2x type booster in the game with TM Kizaru.

In fact, the result from 2) follows through as well. TM Kizaru is equivalent to a 3-turn 1.98x type booster FOR ANY TYPE.

In fact, if we compute 3) using chain lock of between 2.5x-3x OR a chain boost of between 0.5x-0.9x, we'd get that TM Kizaru is equivalent to a 3-turn 2.02x-2.05x type booster FOR ANY TYPE.

 

4) 2 turn burst - Other Units


Similar to example 2. This calculation works for other units with single turn boosts such as Colo Lucy or 6+ Croc. This differs from the TM Kizaru situation above since you are free to use a second unit for the 2nd turn of burst (for example, using Colo Lucy for turn 1 and V1 Doffy for turn 2).

For example, suppose we're looking at Lucy, who contributes a 1.75x orb boost for 1 turn and 20% HP cut. He is the only unit being changed and does not impact the 2nd turn's damage.

Assume C is the remaining damage multiplier for the first turn. Assume D is the total damage multiplier for the second turn. Assume that in the replacement team, the total damage multiplier for the 2nd turn is also equal to D (in the above example, suppose we switch out Lucy for turn 1 but keep Doffy for turn 2).

  • Then:

    • 0.8 * ED = 1.75 * C + D
    • ED = 2.1875 * C + 1.25 * D
  • For the replacement unit:

    • ED = X * C + D
  • Equating the two gives:

    • X * C + D = 2.1875 * C + 1.25 * D
    • (X - 2.1875) * C = 0.25 * D
    • X = 0.25 D / C + 2.1875
  • Since both C and D must be positive,

Conclusion

So a unit like Colo Lucy actually provides an orb boost with a minimum EM of 2.1875x for a single turn, which actually deals more damage than 2x orb boosters like Doffy, especially since his 20% HP cut is unblockable.

Furthermore, Lucy's EM is actually higher than 2.1875x if you are in situations where you need a multi-turn burst.

 

Common HP cut & damage boost units

The above math can be extended towards a number of different units, summarized below.

1.75x + 7% HP Cut 1.75x + 10% HP Cut 1.75x + 15% HP Cut 1.75x + 20% HP Cut 2x + 10% HP Cut 2x + 20% HP Cut
What Players See 1.75x 1.75x 1.75x 2x 2x
Effective Multiplier >= 1.88x 1.94x 2.06x 2.1875x 2.22x 2.5x
Examples Colo Jesus Valentine Nami 20 Anni Sanji TM Kizaru Franky 6+ Croc
Marguerite Lucci Colo Lucy
Oars
Daruma
Bellamy

Comments


  • 6+ Croc provides the strongest single turn burst in the game, despite Nami having a 2.25x attack boost.
    • For a 2 turn burst (on the same enemy), 6+ Croc will only need a 1.56x attack booster to match Nami's damage.
    • Nami has an advantange of both crew efficiency (only need 1 unit vs 2 for 6+ Croc and keeping the buff in between stages
  • Oars is actually the strongest conditional booster in the game, at an Effective Multiplier of 1.88x!

 

Thanks for reading! If anything doesn't make sense with my calculations or assumptions, or if you have any other questions, feel free to ask!

I'll be doing a Part 2 that compares TM Kizaru with other TM Units sometime soon.

 

TLDR

  • Units with 1.75x multipliers are NOT necessarily weaker than units with 2x multipliers

  • Colo Lucy is one of the strongest universal orb boosters in the game, equivalent to (at minimum) a 2.1875x orb booster

  • Versus all content that can be HP Cut, TM Kizaru is equivalent to a 3-turn 2.1875x DEX attack booster (+ orb lock)

  • Versus all content that can be HP Cut, TM Kizaru is equivalent to a 3-turn 1.98x (occasionally 2.02x-2.05x) ADAPTABLE attack booster (+ orb lock)

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u/FateOfMuffins Doktah Carrot Muffins May 03 '18 edited May 03 '18

One last thing I want to add - you could effectively change the description of these specials without it materially impact the game (of course there are some rare mechanics that would be impacted, such as HP Cut interrupts).

For example, you could change TM Kizaru's special as

  • Lock orbs for 1 turn

  • If the enemy has a barrier, boost the attack of characters with the same type as your captain by 1.75x for 3 turns

  • If the enemy does not have a barrier, boost the attack of characters with the same type as your captain by 2.1875x for 3 turns

Does not significantly impact the gameplay, but sounds much better to the average player doesn't it?

Imagine the general reaction to a "3 turn, 2.1875x adaptable type booster", instead of a "3 turn, 1.75x adaptable type booster with 20% HP Cut".

People see the 1.75x and think he's shit, when the 2 special descriptions are for the most part equivalent.

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u/ventus #1 Husbando May 03 '18

I think you're too focused on the 1.75x boost yourself, which isn't what most people are upset with from what I've seen. It's mostly the fact that he has an entirely unremarkable CA that is directly at odds with his special. I don't think that he's a completely trash unit like some, but you'd be hard pressed to convince me he isn't a step down from every other TM unit so far.

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u/FateOfMuffins Doktah Carrot Muffins May 03 '18

See other reply

Nothing's forcing you to use Kizaru's special solely for the attack boost - there's still the 20% HP cut and Orb Lock!

And same with most other units, if you're facing an event that directly counters your unit, you might want to consider using a different unit. Not all units will be universally usable - if the content is a STR boss with a barrier that does not need orb lock, might not want to run Kizaru.

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u/ventus #1 Husbando May 03 '18

Your other comment conveniently ignores several factors. TM Sabo's CA is weak yes, but his special is absolutely incredible. He's arguably the best Cerebral sub in the entire game. Kizaru doesn't even fully work on his own teams, captain or sub. Closest he gets to full utilization is on mono-DEX, and even then his SA becomes useless. His kit is completely at odds with itself.

You also compare Kizaru to Lucy (and fail to mention any of the other factors that make him insane beyond his boost), completely skipping the logical step between the two that is TM Ace.

You can keep trying to justify why he isn't terrible but it doesn't change the flaws in his core design, which is the actual reason people aren't happy with him.

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u/FateOfMuffins Doktah Carrot Muffins May 03 '18

1) TM Sabo was not only praised as an incredible sub (which I agree he's absolutely the best Cerebral sub), he was also praised as the best Cerebral captain for many players without Cerebral legends. Yet his damage averages to 2.79x while Kizaru averages to 3.1x.

2) Kizaru's SA is not useless - that's the point of this post! On mono-DEX, he's a 2.1875x attack booster for 3 turns that locks orbs. On his own team (DEX variant), his two 20% health cuts equate to an equivalent attack boost of 2.6x (in the comment I linked you). Otherwise as a sub on other mono type teams, he is a 1.98-2.05x type booster for 3 turns.

3) Yes, Lucy's orb component is amazing. We all know that. But is it expected for a F2P captain to be on par with Lucy??

4) Ace's CA is 2.75x for 3 colours, 3.44x when STR orb. Kizaru takes the middle ground at 3.1x for 3 colours - what's so bad about that?

5) Let's make some teams in the damage calculator. Keep in mind that Kizaru is not fully implemented, his special doesn't work and bugs out the calculator. Furthermore, the calculator also does not take into consideration Zanji's +0.5x chain.

  • Here's a double Kizaru team made vs QCK content. Adjust the numbers for the +0.5 chain and the 1.75x type boost, as well as two 20% health cuts. That's equivalent damage of approximately 29M to QCK.

  • Here's a double Ace team made vs. DEX content. Adjust for 30% + 15% HP cuts. That's equivalent damage of approximately 25M to DEX.

  • EDIT: Unfair comparison, forgot Marigold as conditional booster for Ace. Try this instead with a 15% health cut approximating 29M damage to DEX.

You know what? Maybe their CA's are roughly similar in power level after all.

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u/ventus #1 Husbando May 03 '18

You just keep going with the omissions.

1) What's the point here? Sabo was the best F2P Cerebral captain at the time. Which is a single class vs Kizaru being locked into specific color combinations. It also doesn't change the fact that he can at least be noted to excel tremendously as a sub, while Kizaru has plenty working against him no matter where you put him.

2) Read the comment more carefully. The only time his special gets full mileage is in an all DEX team, in which case making DEX beneficial is useless. The point is that there's not a single team you can build with him where his CA is active and his special boosts the entire team's attack, and there's not even a team where it does and his sailor ability is beneficial.

3) No, but once again you are completely evading the point. You made the Lucy comparison as an argument of something like "well we think this is good so why don't we think Kizaru is good?" while failing to acknowledge any component outside of his attack boost that makes him so good.

4) Even if you want to argue that their CAs are comparable, again you are ignoring the whole picture. Ace's special provides a 1.75x boost to his entire team instead, full orb manipulation, and fully enables his CA. Kizaru's boosts at best 4 members of his team as a captain, locks orbs, and cuts HP. Once of those is doing way more than the other and it's not Kizaru's.

5) Meme damage teams aren't a real argument, especially when you're using another TM unit on the team that can actually crank out even higher numbers.

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u/FateOfMuffins Doktah Carrot Muffins May 03 '18

1) And yet Sabo is still weaker as a captain. Ever since Lucy, type based captains have actually gotten quite a bit stronger, to the point where Lucy's 3 types are a plus over mono class leads like V2 Doffy - the argument being that you have access to 3/5 units in the entire game compared to 1/8 for a single class. A similar argument can be made here.

2) And again, there is no need for every aspect of a unit to be active at the same time. I made it a point in the original post to show that Kizaru is as good as a 3 turn 1.98-2.05x type booster in every non-DEX team that he is not boosted in - meaning he's good enough to kick off every type booster in the game bar V2 Shanks and V2 Aokiji.

3) Let's compare Ace and Kizaru directly again. Ace's special provides a 1.75x boost to his entire team, full orb control and a 3.44x CA. Kizaru on the other hand, provides a 1.75x boost to 4 units (in conjunction with up to two 20% HP cuts), equivalent to a 2.08x-2.6x boost for his entire team OR 2.1875x-2.7344x for the 4 DEX units (depending on if 1 or 2 HP cuts are used). His 3.1x CA is calculated based on equal stats and no chain modification, which is obviously not the case if we're boosting the 4 DEX characters in the crew, and is much higher otherwise.

4) Also ignores the fact that Kizaru (and G4) instead of Enel & Machvise would increase the damage from about 35M (with LB & CC) in your team to about 49M.btw thx for letting me know they added in a map effect for Zanji

5) I think at this point we should just agree to disagree. I don't think there is any benefit to debate this anymore. We'll just have to see how useful he is in practice in the upcoming weeks/months.

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